Will the situation get better?
Probably not. The government of Maduro has shown that it is determined to stay in power, continue its policies, ignore the crisis and prevent anyone from helping. Early in 2016, when the National Assembly declared a humanitarian health crisis that would allow the country to request assistance from the World Health Organisation, Maduro’s government refused to make an official request to the WHO and accused the opposition legislators of treason.
The opposition has backed the idea of a presidential recall referendum, which is allowed in the Constitution. In March 2016 legislators requested that the National Electoral Commission activate the procedure for a referendum. For this the opposition needed to collect a bit under 200,000 signatures. They collected 2.5 million and presented 1.8 million to the commission. Since then, the commission has dragged its feet and the Venezuelan Vice President, Aristobulo Isturiz, said there would be no referendum.
The Organisation of American States (OAS) has an opportunity to put pressure on Venezuela by invoking the Democratic Charter and requesting that the Maduro government allow the referendum. However, the OAS Council could not reach consensus about this and simply issued a resolution asking for dialogue between the government and the opposition.
Meanwhile, the situation of Venezuelans will continue to worsen. The Chavez and Maduro governments have almost wiped out Venezuela’s capabilities to produce food, medicines and almost everything else. Until now, the government was able to import food and medicines. But with the fall of oil prices and the decrease of crude production, the government can’t afford this anymore.